Did Democratic political consultant James Carville say that he believes Vice President Kamala Harris will lose the 2024 U.S. presidential election? No, that's not true: Carville posted on X that he would donate $100 to the Donald Trump campaign if a credible person came forward and proved they heard him make the statements attributed to him in a social media post. Carville also has spoken on TV and written about how he believes Harris will win the presidency. A search on Google News did not return any news reports mentioning Carville saying he thinks Harris will lose.
The claim appeared in a post on X on October 29, 2024 (archived here). The caption read:
Veteran Democrat strategist James Carville is telling campaign advisors and high-level donors behind the scenes that Kamala Harris is headed for a historic blowout, telling them she will lose every swing state and probably New Hampshire and Virginia too.
Users on social media only saw this title, description and thumbnail:
(Source: X screenshot taken on Wed Oct 30 13:54:12 2024 UTC)
The post did not provide any evidence supporting its claim.
Carville responded to the claim on X on October 29, 2024, with his own statement (archived here):
If this ass wipe can produce one credible person who will come forward and say they heard me say anything like this I will give $100 to the Trump campaign
A screenshot of Carville's response post is below:
(Source: X screenshot taken on Wed Oct 30 19:28:58 2024 UTC)
Carville wrote a New York Times opinion essay, published on October 23, 2024, titled, "James Carville: Three Reasons I'm Certain Kamala Harris Will Win" and appeared on MSNBC on October 28, 2024, where he said "we're gonna win."
Lead Stories searched for recent news stories mentioning "James Carville" and "Kamala Harris" and "'lose every swing state'" on Google News and we found no credible sources that would confirm the claim (archived here).
Other Lead Stories fact checks of claims surrounding Kamala Harris are here.
More Lead Stories fact checks of claims surrounding the 2024 U.S. presidential election are here.
