Fact Check: 2022 NOT A Record Year For Inflation In US - It's Been Higher A Dozen Other Times

Fact Check

  • by: Ed Payne
Fact Check: 2022 NOT A Record Year For Inflation In US - It's Been Higher A Dozen Other Times Bad, Not Worst

Did the U.S. inflation rate hit an all-time high in 2022? No, that's not true: While inflation, as measured by the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI), is at a high level of 8.0 percent in June 2022, a dozen other years have had higher inflation rates since the CPI was first calculated in 1913. The all-time record of 17.8 percent was set more than 100 years ago in 1917.

The claim appeared in a Facebook post on June 12, 2022. It opens:

The state of US economy now that inflation has hit an all time high

This is what the post looked like on Facebook at the time of writing:

body image.png

(Source: Facebook screenshot taken on Mon Jun 13 14:31:03 2022 UTC)

While inflation is not at an all-time high, it's been about 40 years since American consumers have seen prices rise this fast. For the first half of 2022, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics estimated that the CPI jumped by 8.0 percent. The last time inflation was that high was in 1981 when it hit 10.3 percent. Since the United States began calculating the CPI in 1913, the annual inflation rate has been higher than it is now 12 times:

CPI graph.png

(Source: Created in Canva using CPI data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics)

In a June 8, 2022, article on the university's website, Laurence Ball, an economics professor at Johns Hopkins University, was asked what's causing the inflation we're seeing now:

Largely the things that a lot of people are talking about in the media, like the strange labor shortages which we've probably all experienced, such as at restaurants where they are not getting enough workers. The labor shortage pushes wages up, which at first blush sounds like a good thing, but then it gets passed through onto prices. The high energy prices are obviously because of international events, and then there are all the strange supply shortages, such as the shortage of computer chips that led to a big increase in used car prices. These latter idiosyncratic factors will presumably go away. Then it's the question of whether the labor shortage will ease or whether the Fed has to really step in and potentially cause a recession or not.

Record-high gasoline prices, which topped $5 a gallon in June 2022, have helped fuel much of the inflation but have also been the subject of many erroneous claims debunked by Lead Stories.

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  Ed Payne

Ed Payne is a staff writer at Lead Stories. He is an Emmy Award-winning journalist as part of CNN’s coverage of 9/11. Ed worked at CNN for nearly 24 years with the CNN Radio Network and CNN Digital. Most recently, he was a Digital Senior Producer for Gray Television’s Digital Content Center, the company’s digital news hub for 100+ TV stations. Ed also worked as a writer and editor for WebMD. In addition to his journalistic endeavors, Ed is the author of two children’s book series: “The Daily Rounds of a Hound” and “Vail’s Tales.” 

Read more about or contact Ed Payne

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