Fact Check: Poll Did NOT Show 70% of Georgians Would Vote For Trump In 2024

Fact Check

  • by: Arthur Brice
Fact Check: Poll Did NOT Show 70% of Georgians Would Vote For Trump In 2024 Just GOP

Did a March 2021 poll show that 70% of Georgians said they would vote for former President Donald Trump in 2024? No, that's not true: The March 7-9, 2021 poll by Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage notes that only likely GOP primary voters were polled on Trump. That question was not asked of Georgians of all party affiliations.

The claim appeared in a tweet published by the @GovMikeHuckabee account on March 13, 2021 (archived here), which opened:

"70% of Georgians said they would vote for Trump in 2024, and 55.5% disapprove of the job Biden is doing. Makes you wonder how Biden could have won Georgia, but you'd better not wonder that out loud."

This is what the post looked like on Twitter at the time of writing:

Twitter screenshot

(Source: Twitter screenshot taken on Sun Mar 14 16:00:07 2021 UTC)

According to the poll, which has a 2.8% margin of error and a 95% confidence level, Trump was shown to have a lock on poll respondents who said they were likely Republican primary voters. Nearly 80% of those respondents said they definitely would vote for Trump or consider voting for him if he were to run for president in 2024. About 14% of respondents said they would vote for anyone other than Trump.

Trump.png

Huckabee interpreted the poll results correctly when he said 55.5% of all Georgians disapprove of Biden's job performance. That question was asked of voters of all party affiliations, according to the Trafalgar Group's report on the survey. The breakdown is 46.5% strongly disapprove and 9% disapprove.

According to the poll, more than 40% of Georgians approve of Biden's job performance, 31.8% saying they strongly approve and 9.3% approve.

Biden.png

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  Arthur Brice

Arthur Brice is a fact checker at Lead Stories. He has been a journalist for more than 40 years, nearly 30 of them in newspapers. Brice was a national desk editor and reporter at The Atlanta Journal-Constitution for nearly 20 years. Previously, he was political editor at The Tampa Tribune and also worked for three other Florida newspapers. He spent 11 Years as an executive editor and executive producer at CNN. 

Read more about or contact Arthur Brice

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